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Limitations for future climate projections. Mol Biol Evol 16:37–48īedia J, Herrera S, Gutiérrez JM (2013) Dangers of using global bioclimatic datasets for ecological niche modeling. Syst Biol 43:387–418īandelt HJ, Forster P, Röhl A (1999) Median-joining networks for inferring intraspecific phylogenies. J Appl Ecol 43:1223–1232Īrévalo E, Davis SK, Sites JW Jr (1994) Mitochondrial DNA sequence divergence and phylogenetic relationships among eight chromosome races of Sceloporus grammicus complex (Phrynosomatidae) in Central Mexico. Finally, the ENMs predict a considerable future retraction and shift in the area suitable for the species, which should be taken into account for conservation policies.Īllouche O, Tsoar A, Kadmon R (2006) Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models: prevalence, kappa and the true skill statistic (TSS). This pattern most likely arises from the climatic oscillations during the Pleistocene, leading to a complete range shift and secondary contact, with very divergent haplogroups in sympatry and exchanging genes. The footprint of this complex evolutionary history is reflected today in six monophyletic lineages, with little genetic differentiation and geographic coherency. Indeed, ABC analysis indicates that not the Last Interglacial, but instead the Last Glacial Maximum led to a population bottleneck followed by a recovery/expansion. However, during the Last Interglacial the species had much larger suitable habitats along NE Iberia and/or the Cantabrian region. marchi in the Iberian Peninsula began during the Upper-Pleistocene around 0.10 Mya. In parallel, past, present and future habitat suitability was inferred using Ecological Niche Models (ENMs).
Moreover, ancestral changes in effective population size were determined under Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) analysis. Here, an improved and time-calibrated multilocus phylogenetic analysis, combining two mitochondrial, three nuclear markers as well as a battery of 12 microsatellite loci, was performed. Due to specific habitat requirements, this species is considered threatened by climate change and habitat degradation. The Iberian Algyroides ( Algyroides marchi) is a lacertid lizard with one of the narrowest distribution ranges in continental Europe, restricted to a minute area in the Subbaetic mountains in SE Spain.
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